Analysis the real reason for the abnormal fluctuation of oil price in the near future-www.9999mp.com

The recent oil price abnormal fluctuation of the real reason Huitong news network February 8th, oil price fluctuation has reached the highest level since the 2008 crisis Lehman system. The volatility of oil prices in 5%-10% should be attributed to OPEC and local geopolitical conflicts that have damaged the fundamentals. But there’s another factor that causes oil prices to fluctuate abnormally. The sudden liquidation of $600 million has greatly pushed down the price of oil and damaged the entire oil market, Reuters reported. The volatility of oil prices has reached an incredible level… But this week the epic reversal — in the face of gloomy data — just strange… According to Reuters, a large number of stories have been pointed out and the volatility of oil prices but these are meaningless. So what happened? Exchange data show that the reverse oil trading bonds (ETN) unknown investors – the bond can be bearish price magnified three times, with the price fluctuation in January after the inflow of funds, this week began to flow. According to FactSet research data shows that 1 million 800 thousand shares to be redeemed on Tuesday, the total stock market value of more than $602 million, which also hit a historical record of the largest outflow. Sell oil market shows that at least some large investors believe in the US last month for the first time since 2003, oil prices fell to $26 a barrel after the poor performance of the oil market since 18 months ended. Trading activity also jumped to the highest level in history. The DWTI index tracks the S & P oil index, which reflects the movement of the crude oil market. Because it offers investors three times of exposure to this amplification effect, exchange traded bond volatility has been magnified effect on crude oil futures, the price more than doubled in the first three weeks of the month, because oil futures rebound once again cut the waist. According to the VelocityShares website, the net asset value of the fund on Tuesday from nearly $1 billion down to $417 million Wednesday, the net value of the fund again fell to $322 million, the fund is also one of the few allows investors to trade in the absence of Crude Oil Futures Hedging under the condition of the fund. Because investors to redeem shares, investors may be forced to leave the exchange bond issuer Credit Suisse (Credit Suisse) quickly buy empty positions. According to analysts estimates, Tuesday’s futures contracts could be more than 40000. The report shows that when oil reversed three days of gains fell $2 a barrel, redemption and sale order issuing and sharing them into one day the time delay between the data, which means that the cash flow by the limit Monday Tuesday. Despite the release of the U.S. energy information administration report bearish last week, crude oil inventories increased 7 million 800 thousand barrels, but oil prices still rose more than 8% on Wednesday to $32.28 a barrel. Data from ThomsonReuters show that the mid Texas crude oil period on Wednesday, March

解析:近期油价异常波动的真实原因   汇通网2月8日讯——   油价波动已经达到了2008年雷曼系统危机以来的最高水平。油价在盘中波动5%-10%应该归因于OPEC和当地的地缘政治冲突损坏了基本面。但还有另外一个因素导致油价异常波动。据路透社报道,6亿美元的突然清算极大的推动了油价的下跌,并给整个原油市场造成了破坏。   油价的波动已经达到了令人难以置信的水平…   但本周史诗般的反转——面对惨淡的数据——只是奇怪的…   据路透社报道,大量的故事被指出与油价波动有关但这些都没有任何意义。那么到底发生了什么?   交易所数据显示,逆向原油交易债券(ETN)的不知名投资者 –这种债券可以将看跌价格放大三倍,随着价格的起伏——在一月份流入资金之后,本周便流出了。   根据FactSet的研究数据显示,180万股股票在周二被赎回,这些股票总市值超过了6.02亿美元,这也创下了历史最大流出记录。   石油市场的抛售表明,至少有一些大型投资者认为,在上个月美国石油价格自2003年以来首次跌至每桶26美元之后,石油市场18个月以来的糟糕表现结束了。交易活跃度也跃升至历史最高水平。   DWTI指数反向追踪了标准普尔原油指数,它能反映出原油市场的运动。因为它提供给投资者三倍的风险敞口,这对原油期货的影响起到了放大作用——交易所交易债券的波动也被放大了,其价格在一月的前三个星期上涨了一倍多,之后因为石油期货的反弹而再度腰斩。   据VelocityShares网站报道,该基金的资产净值周二从接近10亿美元下降到4.17亿美元,周三基金净值再度下降至3.22亿美元,这家基金也是少有的几家允许投资者在没有期货对冲的情况下交易原油的基金。   因为投资者赎回股份,大批投资者的离去可能迫使交易所债券的发行人瑞士信贷公司(Credit Suisse)快速买回空头头寸。   据分析师估计,周二放出的期货合约就可能超过40000口。   报告显示,当石油反转了三天的上涨势头收盘下跌2美元每桶时,赎回和出售指令的下达和他们录入共享数据之间有一天的时间延迟,这意味着周二的现金流动受周一的限制。   尽管美国能源信息管理局发布的看跌报告显示,上周原油库存增加780万桶,但是油价周三还是暴涨逾8%至每桶32.28美元。   ThomsonReuters的数据显示,周三的3月份的西德克萨斯中质原油期货合约交易量飙升,总量超过了777000口,这是史上第二高的成交量记录。周三的DWTI成交量也是非常罕见,其交易总量超过了190万股。   这就解释了周二为什么突然缩量杀跌……   为什么周四跟进的空单失败了,因为抛售压力随着DWTI的净值的消失而消失了。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: